๐Ÿช™ The Invoice for Dollar Supremacy

Someone pockets the difference, but it's not you.

A Free Lunch newsletter archive of September 16, 2026

Good morning!

America’s debt crossed $40T on August 18. The $41.1T ceiling set by Donald Trump’s own 2025 tax law could be reached as early as late winter. So the White House wants more room. Since late July, it has pressed Senate Republicans for another $5T, good through 2029, before November’s midterms can hand the House to Democrats. The same president calls the trade deficit theft. He has it backwards. The deficit is the invoice for dollar supremacy. America settles it in paper, and the world accepts the paper because it trusts the issuer. Fighting the invoice while spending the trust is a novel way to run a franchise.

Pliny the Elder misread the same invoice. India, he grumbled, drained at least 50M sesterces a year from Rome, and he blamed luxury and women. Rome paid in gold and silver, and Indian traders took the coins for their metal. Some even slashed them with a chisel, apparently to test what was inside. Rome enjoyed no comparable privilege. Its money crossed the ocean as metal, not as a promise. Nobody takes a chisel to a Treasury bond. Trust does the chisel’s work, and trust is the asset now under attack.

The cure has worked about as well as leeches. The trade deficit reached $901B in 2025, barely dented by a year of tariffs. In February, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that a 1977 sanctions law never gave the president the power to impose them, and the Penn Wharton Budget Model put potential refunds at up to $175B. By May, refunds outran collections and net customs receipts turned negative. The dollar rebounded to 57.13% of global reserves in Q1 2026, still far below the 70%-plus it commanded in 2000. Central banks are not fleeing. They are checking where the exits are.

Dollar supremacy rests on three legs, all made of trust. The first is protection. On pre-1914 data, an alliance lifted the protector’s share of a partner’s reserves by about 30 points, and every alliance turned into a transaction weakens that reflex. The second is Treasury debt deep enough to serve the world and disciplined enough to stay beyond question. The Congressional Budget Office projects a $1.9T deficit this fiscal year and about $1T in net interest. The supply is intact. The discipline is not. The third is institutions, and the Fed’s independence is now a presidential grievance. In March, primary dealers had to absorb nearly a quarter of a 2-year auction, against an 11% average. By July, buyers were back. Auctions like that do not end reserve currencies. They are how doubt starts to carry a price. The denarius lost its silver over the two centuries following Nero’s reform of AD 64, slowly enough to pass for calm. Coins outlast the men who debase them. Monetary supremacy does not.

๐Ÿช™ The Invoice for Dollar Supremacy

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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Top Story

  • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Track Record. Suspected sabotage brought Dutch rail traffic to a halt on Tuesday, with ProRail reporting objects deliberately placed on tracks across the country. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช GaN of Interest. Belgian authorities arrested a dual-national ex-BelGaN ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช research chief, accusing him of leaking sensitive gallium nitride chip technology to China while secretly running a rival firm. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Baltic Nerves. Denmark condemned Russia after a navy frigate shot flares at a Danish helicopter during a routine mission, warning Moscow that such provocations cross the line. (France Info)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Warbucks. The Iran war has cost the $246M per day in its first five months, with the Pentagon burning through $38.1B and counting. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Ballot Patrol. Kash Patel, head of the FBI, suggested agents could be deployed to polling places, contradicting earlier statements and alarming Democrats about federal overreach. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Legal Fiction. Despite laws and UN commitments, China continues to use torture to extract confessions from prisoners, according to a new NGO report that finds impunity is the rule. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ AI Contact. Experts at Beijing’s Xiangshan Forum urge the US and China to open direct talks on artificial intelligence, including military uses, before Xi Jinping’s US visit. (Die Zeit)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Crude Awakening. Saudi Arabiaโ€™s key East-West pipeline was badly hit in a strike, with repairs expected to take weeks and global oil prices jumping above $108. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช Flight Risk. More than 100,000 people have fled their homes in Yemen as fresh fighting between Houthi forces and the government triggers a new wave of displacement, with children among the casualties. (Die Zeit)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ถ Hole in One. The ozone hole over Antarctica shrank for the second year running, reaching one of its smallest sizes since 1990 according to the World Meteorological Organization. (Die Zeit)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Access Denied. The UK Ministry of Justice is investigating after staff inappropriately viewed confidential court files on Southport attack victims, with the prime minister demanding answers and families left reeling. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Spoiler Alert. Editorial staff at the Telegraph ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง express unease as Reform UK uses the paper to pre-empt negative stories with more sympathetic coverage. (The Guardian)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Ctrl-Alt-Unite. In a rare alliance, Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon blast tech oligarchs and demand Congress rein in artificial intelligence before it outpaces humanity. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Shot in the Dark. Pennsylvania confirms a fourth measles-related death as vaccine debates flare, giving politics a new outbreak to fight over. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Cash and Carry. Trumpโ€™s $400M super PAC and its affiliates are flooding battlegrounds with $138M in ad spending, aiming to keep Congress in Republican hands. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Name Dropped. A federal judge ruled that the Kennedy Center cannot display Trump’s name on its exterior without Congress’s approval, blocking the board’s latest attempt at presidential branding. (New York Times)

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Economy

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Work in Progress. UK payrolls shrank by 39,000 this summer while vacancies dropped to a decade low, making the Bank of Englandโ€™s inflation worries a little less urgent. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Sanction Interruption. France and Slovakia halt the automatic renewal of sweeping measures against Russian entities, with Paris pointing to Usmanovโ€™s presence on the list. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Crude Awakening. Shipping oil to China now costs $44.8M per voyage, more than doubling since February as Middle East turmoil scrambles global routes. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Paid Leave It. The Trump administration handed $9.5B to federal employees in 2025 to not show up, all under the Department of Government Efficiencyโ€™s cost-cutting crusade. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Upward Bound. The 10-year Treasury yield surges to a near 20-year high, reminding everyone that easy money is now a distant memory. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Rate Race. A CNBC poll finds 86% of economists now expect the Fed to hike rates at least twice by the end of 2026, with the first move likely tomorrow. (Boursier)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FINRA but for Robots. Inspired by Wall Streetโ€™s self-regulator, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google DeepMind pitch an AI risk authority, hoping lawmakers will not see it as collusion. (France Info)
  • ๐ŸŒŽ Hack to the Future. 2026 has seen record-breaking cyberattacks, with massive data breaches, ransomware, and nation-state hacks disrupting everything from utilities to healthcare and social media. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Rate Expectations. The Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points to 1.25%, reaching a new 30-year high as inflation and US pressure mount. (CNBC)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Loan Ranger. Chancellor John Healey is weighing UK membership in the Canadian-led DSRB, a multilateral bank designed to boost defence budgets without breaking the Treasuryโ€™s piggy bank. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Face Value. UK employers will soon be required to meet with staff in person to explain any rejected work-from-home requests, as the government tightens flexible working rights. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bank of Shame. New research reveals the Bank of Englandโ€™s founding directors were deeply invested in the transatlantic slave trade, embedding slavery profits in Britainโ€™s financial roots. (The Guardian)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Lock and Loaded. Downing Street assures pensioners they will keep the full new ยฃ13,000 state pension tax-free, even as next yearโ€™s triple lock boost overtakes the personal allowance. (The Guardian)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Ethics and the City. The FCA warns UK finance firms after Crispin Odey loses his appeal against a lifetime ban and fine for misconduct, promising tougher enforcement on ethical failures. (Financial Times)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Upward Mobility. New Census Bureau data shows median household income rose 2.6% to $87,460 in 2025 while the poverty rate dropped to 10.2%, giving the Trump administration a rare reason to celebrate economic headlines. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Double Counting. Trump Account savers face a Dec. 31 deadline, with employer and employee contributions combined under the $5,000 annual ceiling, making benefits math trickier than it looks. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pump Fiction. Americans have shelled out an extra $107B on fuel since the Iran conflict began, with oil prices soaring past $100 a barrel and no relief in sight. (Wall Street Journal)

๐Ÿข Real Estate

  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Aging Out. Europe faces a silent crisis with 170,000 seniors homeless, according to a new report that shows the problem is growing fast. (Ouest-France)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Home Alone. As 30-year mortgage rates climb past 7%, would-be buyers and builders find themselves priced out of the market once again. (Wall Street Journal)

๐Ÿ”— On-chain

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Phish and Chips. Hackers claim they breached Italyโ€™s official email system to pose as police and trick Revolut ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง into handing over data on 680 crypto-rich customers. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Clarity Deferred. The Senate failed to pass the Clarity Act, leaving crypto firms like Ripple ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and Chainlink Labs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ stuck with shifting regulatory sands instead of a stable legal framework. (Coindesk)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Token Laundering. The Justice Department alleges two Chinese firms washed Iranian oil proceeds through Binance ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ, with funds linked to the Revolutionary Guards and $61M now set for forfeiture. (New York Times)

๐Ÿ’ฑ Listed Markets

  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Data Fields. TotalEnergies ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท partners with Mistral, investing โ‚ฌ100M to create AI tools that promise to squeeze more insight (and oil) from their reservoirs. (Le Parisien)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ WhatsAppened. Radiant World claims Glencore ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ kept their $2B trading relationship off audited records using private meetings and encrypted chats to avoid regulators. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Storage Wars. ExxonMobil ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ secures Texas approval to bury 53M tonnes of COโ‚‚ underground in a $5B carbon capture project, sparking fierce debate over safety and subsidies. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Liquid Assets. Oracle ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ co-founder Larry Ellison set up a $7B stock sale to fund family ventures, only to scrap the plan days later with no reason given. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Agent Provocateurs. Salesforce ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ unveils a new lineup of AI agents to automate sales, customer support, HR, and supply chain tasks, promising smarter workflows and fewer human headaches. (Webrazzi)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AI for a Fee. Meta ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ unveils Meta One and a buffet of new subscription plans, charging users for expanded AI tools after pouring billions into its Muse AI models. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Summit Slump. Mark Carneyโ€™s expanded tax write-off failed to lift Torontoโ€™s S&P/TSX Composite Index, which slipped 0.4% as energy alone showed gains. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Return to Mean. New Zealandโ€™s $54.2B super fund sees global stocks reverting to average returns following its own 14 percent growth and a cautious stance on tech. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ Downtime Abbey. Amazon Web Services ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ reveals its Gulf data centers are still down six months after Iranian strikes, proving even the cloud can crash to earth. (CNBC)

๐Ÿ›Ž๏ธ Big Deals (M&A)

  • Essar Energy Transition Fuels ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง acquires UK fuel retailer SGN Retail ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง.
  • UK government ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง proposes to acquire insolvent steelmaker Speciality Steel UK ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง after a private-sector rescue failed.
  • Schroders ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง explores acquisitions in wealth management.
  • LeHibou ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท acquires Afarax ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช, a Belgian IT consulting and freelance recruitment company.
  • Thales ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท to acquire maritime drone specialist Exail Technologies ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท for โ‚ฌ3.9B.
  • Forvia ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท is considering selling its Japanese unit Clarion Electronics ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต to cut debt.
  • Uniper ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช to sell its 20% stake in Germanyโ€™s Opal gas pipeline to Hy24 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท.
  • Cheplapharm ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช to acquire 20 medicines and three production sites from Sanofi ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท in exchange for a 26.4% stake in Cheplapharm, increasing its annual revenue by approximately โ‚ฌ1B.
  • UniCredit ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น is negotiating to acquire Commerzbank ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช, with the German government seeking to retain its 13.3% stake and two supervisory board seats.
  • BMPS ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น offers to acquire Banco BPM ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น and Banca Generali ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น as Intesa Sanpaolo ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น pursues a $40B takeover.
  • Biorsaf ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น acquires Cooki ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น alongside a โ‚ฌ5.2M funding round led by P101.
  • Puig Brands ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires the remaining 50% of skincare brand Isdin ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ for $1.4B.
  • Euronext ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ is open to a merger with Deutsche Bรถrse ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช.
  • Core Equity ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช is seeking a new owner for Belgian dental chain Mint Dental ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช.
  • Endra ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช acquires Swiss AI startup Planlabs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ in a technology and talent deal.
  • Renato Radic ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท acquires ADA Mรถbelwerke Holding ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น, taking a 100% stake in the Austrian furniture manufacturer.
  • Aeon ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ acquires key assets from blood diagnostics provider Aware Health ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช and raises its seed funding to over $14M.
  • KKR ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ sells its entire 19.9% stake in Philippine power producer First Gen ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ to Angsana Finance for $411M.
  • OpenAI ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires AI-powered camera technology developer Glass Imaging ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for more than $300M.
  • Uber ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ invests $10M in fleet management startup Carrum Mobility ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ in a Series B round, raising its post-money valuation to $168M.
  • Vista Equity Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ explores a $12B sale of financial software company Finastra ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง, with Blackstone ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ as a potential bidder.
  • DFO Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and Sequence Holdings ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ to acquire insurance brokerage The Baldwin Insurance Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $7.7B, a 90% premium.
  • Carlyle ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Canadian oil and gas company Parallax ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ from Carnelian Energy Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $720M.
  • The Pentagon ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ to acquire a 20% stake in tungsten producer Elmet Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $450M.
  • Sazerac ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires UK-based spirits maker Au Vodka ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง for $404M.
  • La Caisse de dรฉpรดt et placement du Quรฉbec ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ partners with Beedie ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ in a C$1B Canadian industrial real estate joint venture.
  • MCOT ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ faces unconfirmed reports of a possible merger with Thai PBS ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ.
  • Solar Industries India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ acquires Omnia Holdings ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ for $1.4B.
  • Macquarie ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ acquires half of Maple Infrastructure Trust ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ from CDPQ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ for $300M. CDPQ retains a 37.5% stake.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Verlinvest ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช invests in HomeExchange ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท, with Ternel ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท reinvesting and ISAI ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท exiting.
  • Broadcom ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires its former Irvine office and R&D campus for $325M from PRP Real Assets ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.
  • NOVVA Group ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ acquires a 3.17 GW renewable energy portfolio in Argentina from ABO Energy ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช.

๐Ÿงณ Private Markets & VC

  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Model Behavior. Anthropic has finally allowed the EUโ€™s ENISA agency to access its Mythos 5 AI model, though the newer Mythos 5.1 remains off-limits for now. (Siliconrepublic)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trillion Dollar Baby. Investors are circling OpenAI with offers, but the company wants a $1.5T price tag before its IPO, because $730B just does not cut it anymore. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Meta Morals. Mark Zuckerberg criticizes Anthropic for pushing an A.I. pause, claiming Meta can move fast and stay safe at the same time. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Guardrails Optional. OpenAIโ€™s Sam Altman acknowledges AIโ€™s risks but urges the world to trust tech firms to set their own limits, dismissing calls for new laws. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Exit Strategy. Gilt Groupe may have sold for pennies on the dollar, but its alumni network now dominates New York’s female founder scene, outlasting the original business. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Working Class Hero. Agility Robotics unveils Digit 5, a humanoid robot designed to work safely side by side with humans in warehouses and factories, no cage required. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Snitch, please. AI agents now have dedicated hotlines to report misbehaving bots, as researchers scramble to contain collusion and cyber shenanigans in the machine ranks. (TechCrunch)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Pitch Perfect. Lloyds Banking Group ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง is calling on UK start-ups and scale-ups to pitch tech solutions for banking, mortgages, and insurance with the promise of potential investment or partnership. (FinExtra)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Dash and Deliver. DoorDash ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is investing $425M in Wonder ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, acquiring its Grubhub Campus Dining business and fueling Marc Lore’s food delivery ambitions. (TechCrunch)

Fundraising

  • Cognition ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $2B+ (Andreessen Horowitz, Accel, Founders Fund, General Catalyst, Avenir, Benchmark, Bessemer, Kleiner Perkins, Greylock, Lightspeed, Altimeter, Bond Capital, Meritech, Atreides, Valor, T Rowe Price, Lux, 8VC, D1, 137 Ventures)
  • Temporal Technologies ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Software): $550M (Lightspeed, Wellington Management, Goldman Sachs Alternatives, Tiger Global)
  • The Exploration Company ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Space): โ‚ฌ387M
  • Open Cosmos ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Space): โ‚ฌ300M (Lightrock, ETF Partners, British Columbia Investment Management Corporation, Entrepreneurs First, Institut Catalร  de Finances, A&G Global Investors, Trill Impact, Phoenix Court, National Security Strategic Investment Fund, Convex, Santander Alternative Investments, Sankara, Ireon, Sustainable Forward Capital, Endeavor Catalyst Fund, Iberis Capital, Shilling VC, Amena Ventures, Claret Capital Partners)
  • Exein ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น (Cybersecurity): $270M (Headline, Sofina, Goldman Sachs, European Investment Bank Group, KfW Capital, T.Capital, Balderton, HV, Intrepid Growth Partners, 33N Ventures, Lakestar, Supernova Invest, Blue Cloud Ventures, Geodesic Capital)
  • Tabby ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (Fintech): $233M (Blue Pool Capital)
  • Mal ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช (Fintech): $230M (BlueFive Capital)
  • Cornelis Networks ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $205M (IAG Capital Partners)
  • EUCLYD ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (AI): โ‚ฌ200M+ (Samsung, Somerset Capital Partners, Innovation Industries, Scaleup Europe Fund, EIFO, imec.xpand, Brabant Development Agency, Quadri)
  • Profound ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $180M (Sequoia, Kleiner Perkins, Lightspeed Venture Partners, Khosla Ventures, South Park Commons)
  • Buildots ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Construction): $130M (O.G. Venture Partners)
  • Kaiko ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท (Crypto): $110M (S&P Global, BNP Paribas, Bpifrance, Broadridge, Canton Foundation, Coinbase Ventures, DRW Venture Capital, Nasdaq Ventures, Royal Bank of Canada, Stellar Foundation, Susquehanna Private Equity Investments, Anthemis, Point Nine, Revaia)
  • Thatch ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Healthcare): $108M (The General Partnership, Index Ventures, General Catalyst, Andreessen Horowitz)
  • Pixxel ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Space technology): $100M (Temasek, Seraphim, Radical Ventures, growX Ventures, 360 ONE Asset, IMM Investment)
  • Delos Data ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI infrastructure): Over $100M (Matrix, Playground, Socratic Partners, Capricorn’s Technology Impact Fund, Matter Venture Partners, IAG)
  • Model ML ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $100M+
  • Tandem Health ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Healthcare): โ‚ฌ86.49M (Scaleup Europe Fund, Kinnevik, Northzone, Amino Collective, Visionaries)
  • Samson Sky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Mobility): $80M (Matin Group)
  • Mecka ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Robotics): $60M (Framework Ventures, Menlo Ventures, SV Angel, Kindred Ventures)
  • Nuance Labs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $50M (Lightspeed)
  • Jack & Jill ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $40M (Air Street Capital, Madrona, Antler, Creandum, Ada Ventures, Entrepreneurs First, Expedite Capital, Repeat.vc)
  • Artificial Intelligence Underwriting Company (AIUC) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $40M (Ribbit Capital, First Harmonic)
  • Impossible Objects ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Manufacturing): $40M (Inflection Equity)
  • Evvy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Healthcare): $40M (Catalio Capital Management)
  • ReEmerge ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (MedTech): $37M (U.S. Venture Partners, Santรฉ, Oxford Science Enterprises, 415 Capital, IAG Capital Partners, The Vertical Group, Dendrion Ventures)
  • Limetax ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (TaxTech): โ‚ฌ36M (Motive Partners, Activant, Heliad, Christian Lindner, Alexander Kudlich, Anton Rummel, Ante Spittler)
  • BRKZ ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (Proptech): $31M
  • HVR Energy ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Mobility): โ‚ฌ20M (Sandton)
  • Fin.com ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $20M (Expa, Garrett Camp, Coinbase Ventures, Tenet Fund, Figure founders, Bam Azizi, Second Sight Ventures, sovereign and royal family offices)
  • CloudNC ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (AI): โ‚ฌ17.2M (Nimble Ventures)
  • R+I Factory ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (AI): โ‚ฌ15M (German Federal Ministry of Research)
  • Sportano ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ (E-commerce): โ‚ฌ15M (EBRD)
  • Aeon ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (Healthcare): More than $14M (Araya Ventures, Concentric, GoHub Ventures, Kadmos Capital, Calm/Storm Ventures, N&V Capital, Bigwave Capital)
  • Synapse Analytics ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ (AI): $13M (Partech)
  • First Table ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ (Foodtech): NZ$12M
  • Keewano ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (AI): $12M (Hetz Ventures, a16z speedrun, Remagine Ventures, DIG Ventures)
  • Vaxdyn ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): โ‚ฌ11M (Biovance Capital, EIC Fund, Arcano Partners)
  • Chift ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช (Fintech): โ‚ฌ10.5M (BlackFin Capital Partners, Entourage, Shapers, Seeder Fund, Wallonie Entreprendre)
  • Resolutiion ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (AI): $10.4M (Cherry Ventures, Octopus Ventures, LocalGlobe, Auxxo)
  • BizAway ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Travel): โ‚ฌ10M (BBVA)
  • Zero ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ (AI): โ‚ฌ8.93M (Primary Venture Partners, Inception Fund, Defiant, Greens, Lovable founders, Supercell founders, Langdock founders, Silo AI founders)
  • Isometric ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (ClimateTech): โ‚ฌ8.6M
  • Deneb Medical ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Healthcare): โ‚ฌ7.2M (SETT)
  • HeyDiga ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): โ‚ฌ5.5M (6DC, Kfund, Italian Founders Fund, Decelera)
  • Tellia ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (AgTech): $5M (Revent, Grey Silo Ventures, Jeriko, Fund F)
  • Eve Security ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Cybersecurity): $4.5M (Run Ventures, Dreamit Ventures, Blu Ventures, LiveOak Ventures)
  • Decimal AI ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $4M (Khosla Ventures, Kearny Jackson, Atlassian Ventures, Weekend Fund)
  • Furo ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (EnergyTech): โ‚ฌ4M (TQ Ventures, Neo, Sandberg Bernthal Venture Partners, CDTM Venture Capital)
  • KVector ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Antenna technology): ยฃ3.8M (Midlands Mindforge, Midlands Engine Investment Fund II, Mercia Ventures, UK Innovation & Science Seed Fund, Future Planet Capital, University of Birmingham)
  • FRYTE Mobility ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Mobility): โ‚ฌ3.5M (4impact capital, Rethink Ventures, Revent, F-LOG, accilium ventures, angel investors)
  • CONNECTA Therapeutics ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): โ‚ฌ3.1M (Clave Capital)
  • Ferm Labs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (Biotech): โ‚ฌ3M (CDP Venture Capital, Fund F, Redstone, Euregio+)
  • Depotcharge ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Mobility): โ‚ฌ2.7M (High-Tech Grรผnderfonds, xdeck Ventures, Kopa Ventures, Prequel Ventures)
  • Radian Forge ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Manufacturing): $2.5M (Veteran Ventures Capital, Virginia Innovation Partnership Corporation, existing investors)
  • Boxd ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (AI): $2M (BlueYard Capital, OVNI Capital, Antler, S20, Script Capital, General Intuition)
  • EnforceShield ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น (Legaltech): โ‚ฌ1.7M (Vendep Capital, FIRSTPICK VC)
  • QUIET ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท (Deeptech): โ‚ฌ1.4M (Demea Sustainable Investment, Bpifrance, banking pool)
  • Magnitude Biosciences ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Biotech): ยฃ1.3M (Northstar Ventures, Maven, angel investors)
  • TesterArmy ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ (AI): โ‚ฌ1.04M (Y Combinator, AIP Seed, Eight Capital, Script Capital, Guillermo Rauch, Walden Yan, Charlie Cheever, Zeno Rocha, Fernando Rojo, Fryderyk Wiatrowski)
  • Greencovery ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (FoodTech): โ‚ฌ1M (ROM InWest, Brightlands Venture Partners, private investor)
  • Safahat.ai ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท (Legaltech): $590K (Albaraka Tรผrk, Albaraka Portfolio Management, Insha Ventures)
  • Freya Industries ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Defence): โ‚ฌ533k (Foundry Ventures, Longswan Ventures, Propel Capital, Saminvest, Schyssta ร„nglar, Sting, selected private investors)
  • Fusionality ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (Fusion): CHF 3M (Founderful, Playfair)

Fund Watch

  • Goldman Sachs Alternatives ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $11.7B (private equity funds: $9.6B flagship buyout fund, $1.6B Asia-Pacific fund, and $500M co-investment vehicles)
  • PSG Equity ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $5.1B (3rd fund targeting European software)
  • Pinegrove Venture Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $1.5B (12th fund of funds)
  • Radical Ventures ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: $1B+ (1st close of Radical Breakouts Fund, late-stage AI venture capital fund)
  • Claret Capital Partners ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: โ‚ฌ575M (Fund IV, European growth debt fund for tech, life sciences and impact companies)
  • Intrepid Growth Partners ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: $525M (1st growth fund focused on AI)
  • Crane Venture Partners ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: โ‚ฌ419M (four venture vehicles across Europe, APAC and the US)
  • Artemis Capital Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $254M (4th industrial tech private equity fund)
  • Airbnb ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $250M (housing construction investment fund)
  • Suma Capital ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ: โ‚ฌ2M (SC Climate Tech Ventures I, early-stage climate tech fund)

๐Ÿ””IPO

  • Biogena ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น (Healthcare): raised approximately โ‚ฌ25M in its Vienna Stock Exchange debut.
  • Spotify ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Music): Co-CEO Gustav Sรถderstrรถm sold nearly 84,000 shares for $46.5M.
  • Sysco ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Foodservice): seeking to raise $1B in a share sale to help fund its $29.1B Jetro Restaurant Depot acquisition.
  • Anthropic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): targeting an October Nasdaq IPO, with valuation estimates reaching $2T.
  • Bamboo Insurance Services ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Insurance): seeking to raise $700M at a $3.2B valuation in an IPO.
  • Orion180 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Insurance): seeking to raise $340M at a $1.7B valuation in an IPO.
  • Electra Therapeutics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): seeking to raise $350M at a $1B valuation in an IPO.
  • Authentic Brands Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Consumer): exploring an IPO as it expands into the creator economy.
  • Boston Dynamics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Robotics): unlikely to IPO next year.
  • Ligent Technologies ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (AI): seeking to raise $727M in a Hong Kong IPO.
  • Kioxia ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (Semiconductors): considering a US listing that could raise $10B.
  • First Gen ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ (Energy): KKR sold its entire stake for $410M.
  • Firmus Technologies ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ (Data Centers): seeking to raise $5B in an Australian IPO.

๐Ÿงณ Debt

  • Aon ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: saw $65B in demand for its $13.5B bond sale to fund its USI acquisition.
  • Churchill Downs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: seeking $500M in junk loans to refinance debt.
  • J. Paul Getty Trust ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: plans to sell $270M of municipal bonds to refinance debt.
  • Michaels ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: used a $170M tariff refund to cut debt by $100M.
  • Sagen ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: seeking to raise $215M in a bond sale.
  • LATAM Airlines ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ: secured $505M to finance 11 new aircraft.
  • SF Holding ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ: plans to raise $1.5B in its first offshore yuan bond sale.
  • SoftBank ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต: secured an $11.9B two-year loan to fund OpenAI investments.

โŒ Failures

  • Uniper ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช: Ardian-backed Hy24 will acquire its 20% stake in the Opal gas pipeline to comply with bailout terms.
  • Booksy ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ: the beauty-booking app is cutting nearly 200 jobs, or 20% of its global workforce, to accelerate its AI transformation.
  • Nakd ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช: Swedish fashion retailer to cut 23 headquarters jobs, about 10% of its office staff, after a weak summer and strategic shift.
  • Air Baltic ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป: the Latvian carrier filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy with $400M in debtor-in-possession financing to restructure its debt.

๐ŸŽฏ For a Few More Minutesโ€ฆ

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Sins of the Fathers. Evidence shows Church of England clergymen backed slave trafficking, prompting renewed calls for reparations and a public reckoning from church authorities. (The Guardian)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Jurassic Parked. Spanish paleontologists have found the first-ever diplodocus fossils in Europe, upending the dinosaur’s North American reputation with a 25-meter surprise in Teruel. (Boursier)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Late Fee-ble. Concord Public Library in New Hampshire finally got back a magazine borrowed in 1894, skipping a $12,055 fine thanks to a new amnesty. (BBC)

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