๐Ÿ’ธ Free Chips, Extra Bill

This roundโ€™s on the houseโ€”until the tab comes out.

A Free Lunch newsletter archive of 10 November 2026

Good morning!

From December, Google will charge twice as much for Gemini 4 Argon, its flagship model: $20 per million tokens of output instead of $10. Gemini 3.8 Flash, the cheap workhorse, doubles in January. For 3 years, AI was sold on the economics of a dealer's first bag: chatbots free, APIs priced like tap water, coding assistants handed out by startups yet to meet a margin. Companies rebuilt their workflows around it and trimmed headcount to match. Uber ran the same trick, losing some $30B before its first profitable year to teach cities that a ride across town should cost less than lunch. In New York, drivers who had borrowed to buy medallions at $1M were still paying off loans worth more than the medallions when the fares went up.

Upstream, the price has already moved. AWS raised its H200 GPU blocks by about 15% one weekend in January, without a press release, after 20 years of announcing price cuts. CoreWeave, the landlord that rents NVIDIA chips to the AI labs, put its rates up 25% in July, then about 10% more. Renting a Blackwell B200 on the spot market went from $2.75 to $4.08 an hour between February and April. NVIDIA builds each B200 for about $6.4K and sells it for $30K to $40K, a gross margin above 80% that makes Hermรจs look generous.

Nobody upstream has a reason to blink. Meta has booked about $35B of CoreWeave capacity through 2032 and now expects to spend $135B to $145B on infrastructure this year. CoreWeave's order book passed $100B in the summer, 20x its 2025 revenue. Jensen Huang, NVIDIA's boss and a stranger to false modesty, sees $1T of orders for his chips through 2027. Downstream, list prices per token kept falling through October. OpenAI launched GPT-6 Sol at half its predecessor's promotional rate. Anthropic's newest Opus costs less per token than the last one, though its newer tokenizer cuts the same page into about 30% more tokens.

The gap between a wholesale price up 15% to 48% and a retail price going down is paid by the labs and the investors behind them, for as long as they agree to. Google has just announced the end of its own lagniappe. The others will follow when their backers tire of funding it. The bill will then land on the companies that spent 3 years telling their boards AI would cut costs, and that have since made every agent and copilot load-bearing. It will not arrive with a press release. It will arrive with an invoice.

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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Top Story

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Raid and Error. Shabana Mahmoodโ€™s immigration enforcement teams made 23,538 raids in 2025, but nearly two-thirds led to no arrests and most lacked a warrant, raising accusations of aimless searches. (The Guardian)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Call of Duty. Macron persuades OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral AI, and government officials to endorse a Paris declaration on AI security, promising more openness and shared oversight. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Chill Factor. France blames Iranโ€™s Revolutionary Guard for cyber-attacks that sabotaged supermarket fridges, spoiling millions in food and triggering EU sanctions talk. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Heat of the Moment. Germany teams up with island nations at COP31 to defend the 1.5ยฐC climate goal, urging rich countries to stop stalling on emissions and funding. (Die Zeit)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Dead Reckoning. Greek coast guards discovered 20 migrants dead on two boats off Crete, as storms turned another desperate crossing into a tragedy at the EU's doorstep. (France Info)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Family Ties. Viktor Orbanโ€™s brother Aron was taken into custody for alleged human trafficking, as announced by Peter Magyar, who campaigned on rooting out corruption. The Orban eraโ€™s legacy is getting a police escort. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Spin Doctors. The has identified "Operation Overload," a Russian network using fake news videos to blame French riots on immigration and undermine confidence in France's leadership. (Boursier)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Body Counted. A cyberattack on Rosstat exposed that almost 400,000 Russians have died in the Ukraine war, shattering the official silence on casualties. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Cabinet Drama. As Rep. Massie pushes to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over Iran, Trump and Rubio defend their embattled ally and denounce the challenge as a partisan stunt. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ War of Words. Trump announces the Iran conflict is "militarily over" and signals no new strikes are planned, though he keeps the threat alive for future headlines. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Peace Out. Trumpโ€™s Board of Peace warns of a dire crisis in Gaza, blaming Israelโ€™s limited aid for worsening floods and exposing displaced families to life-threatening conditions. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Peace Out? After nine months of silence, US-led talks to end the Ukraine war resume in Abu Dhabi, with negotiators hoping for a security breakthrough beyond stalled territorial demands. (New York Times)
  • ๐ŸŒ Summit Expectations. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres opens COP31 by urging world leaders to "rise to the occasion" on emissions, fossil fuels, and climate funding, as disputes over money cloud the start in Antalya. (Le Monde)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Pocket Dialed. England will ban pupils from carrying phones anywhere on school grounds by 2027, forcing schools to go truly phone-free for the entire day. (BBC)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Clockwork Gridlock. Lawmakers are back in Washington with government funding and the debt limit on the docket, but the odds of compromise look slimmer by the hour. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Duck Season. Congress returns with a lame-duck lineup, a pile of unfinished business, and a new Democratic majority waiting to take charge in January. (New York Times)

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Economy

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Scale Fail. Former UK entrepreneurship adviser Alex Depledge says the Treasury does not grasp what scale-ups need and blocked her efforts to reform procurement. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Royal Flush. Belgian prince Henri de Croรฟ told a Paris court his "radicalization" led him to mastermind a massive tax fraud network, costing France at least โ‚ฌ54M. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Export Credit. Germany's trade surplus shrank in September even as exports rose to $157B, since imports climbed even faster and spoiled the comeback story. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro Game. France is considering backing Spain's Pablo Hernandez de Cos over the Netherlands' Klaas Knot in the race to succeed Christine Lagarde as ECB president, with lobbying now in full swing. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Paywall Street. California voters rejected a proposed 5% wealth tax on billionaires like Mark Zuckerberg and Oprah Winfrey, keeping $100B out of the stateโ€™s healthcare budget and the ultra-rich comfortably untaxed. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Trade Billionaire. Chinaโ€™s trade surplus has already topped $1T in 2024, with exports up 35% and the domestic economy left watching from the sidelines. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Safe Deposit. The Monetary Authority of Singapore opens its national currency vault to central banks, inviting them to stash gold reserves in the city-stateโ€™s care. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Bot and Order. Australia will require AI companies to report risks and submit to independent audits, installing mandatory guardrails after government systems were breached by OpenAI models. (Le Temps)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Chair Force One. The White House nominates Christopher Mufarrige to the FTC, aiming to fill the Republican seat and rebalance the commission's power dynamic. (Bloomberg)

๐Ÿข Real Estate

  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Access Denied. Nordic governments are clamping down on data center expansion, requiring operators to meet tough new standards and potentially generate their own power. (Le Monde)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Park and Order. The Supreme Court cleared the Trump administration to resume border wall construction in Big Bend National Park, overriding environmental objections with a $1.7B green light. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Drone Alone. Alphabet's Wing is building a $125M plant in Fort Worth to mass-produce delivery drones, betting the sky is the new sidewalk. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Suite Leak. Wyndham Hotels accidentally exposed customer data through a hardcoded password in its Android app, leaving millions potentially vulnerable until a researcher flagged the flaw. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Stuck Market. home listings surged to 183,500 in October, but sellers refuse to cut prices, leaving buyers and properties in a standoff that only grows frostier. (CNBC)

๐Ÿ”— On-chain

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Token Gesture. Securitize ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ jumped 10% after hours as Q3 results and its River One acquisition signal a push beyond pure tokenization into asset-backed finance. (CNBC)

๐Ÿ’ฑ Listed Markets

  • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Copycat Patrol. Land Rover is taking legal action to stop Chinese automaker BYD from selling its Ti7 Defender lookalike in Europe, leading Dutch authorities to search BYD's European headquarters. (De Tijd)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Passport Control. Brussels takes Atos ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท, IBM ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช, and Leonardo ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น to court after their border tech rollout missed deadline after deadline, leaving the EUโ€™s โ€œsmartโ€ system stuck in the slow lane. (Boursier)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Tree of Might. Onodrim, named for Tolkienโ€™s Ents, emerges from stealth with $300M to revive Europeโ€™s defense manufacturing by acquiring and growing key suppliers. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Saving Private Equity. Skydance has announced plans to cut $6B in costs, offering investors a blockbuster promise of efficiency before the credits roll. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Spin Doctorate. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang hired crisis PR firm Heller Inc. a year before admitting an affair with a woman suspected of spying for China, proving foresight is everything in Silicon Valley scandals. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Park and Ride. Uber launches a new in-app parking reservation service after acquiring SpotHero, aiming to lock in commuters now and robotaxis later. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Default Settings. As CoreWeaveโ€™s bond yields jump above 16% and credit default swaps soar, Wall Street questions whether neoclouds can finance their own AI ambitions much longer. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Strike It Off. Brent crude plunged below $93 as Trump signaled a diplomatic turn on Iran, making war premiums look like yesterdayโ€™s news. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช Dรฉjร  Drilled. Exxon Mobil ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ reaches a tentative pact with Venezuela to review oil projects, despite twice having its assets seized there in the past. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Bull Street. SoftBank Group ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต shares soared 11% as Asian tech stocks mirrored Wall Streetโ€™s rebound, turning a global market scare into a buying party. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต AIcarus. SoftBankโ€™s $65B all-in bet on AI soars then crashes as shares drop 60 percent since June, exposing Masayoshi Sonโ€™s empire to new risks and political headwinds. (Financial Times)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Trust Issues. Palantir lobbied to access NHS GP records, pushing Zubir Ahmed for a wider data grab that doctors warn could erode patient confidence. (The Guardian)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Hot Seat. The NHTSA is investigating 1.2M Ford vehicles after reports that airbag deployments in certain models have caused burn injuries. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Stop Means Go. Waymoโ€™s driverless taxis, owned by Alphabet, are under federal investigation after repeatedly failing to halt for school buses despite a software update that was meant to fix the problem. (Wall Street Journal)

๐Ÿ›Ž๏ธ Big Deals (M&A)

  • Schroders ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง plans to sell Wisteria Mall ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ for around $172M.
  • Permira ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง has agreed to acquire a majority stake in HVAC group Flint Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ from General Atlantic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $1.5B.
  • Crรฉdit Agricole ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท has proposed a merger of its Italian operations with Banco BPM ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น, offering shareholders a 20% premium, a โ‚ฌ1B dividend and a path to a roughly 45% stake. Completion is projected for H2 2027.
  • Alcatel Submarine Networks ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท acquires Ship as a Service ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท, a French operator of underwater infrastructure inspection and monitoring vessels and robots.
  • Germany ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช will take a 50% stake in Franco-German tank maker KNDS ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช for $7.3B, reducing the likelihood of an IPO.
  • ACS ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ is not considering a tender offer for its listed German subsidiary Hochtief ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช and is not contemplating the sale of Hochtief ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช-owned U.S. builder Turner Construction ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.
  • Acesur ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ and Dcoop ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ have agreed to acquire Deoleo ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ from CVC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ at a $586M enterprise valuation.
  • Grupo Solitium ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ, Koesioโ€™s subsidiary, has acquired a 51% stake in Multimac ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น, a Portuguese office services and digital solutions provider.
  • argenx ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช acquires Californian biotech company Unnatural Products ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for up to $1.15B.
  • The Cracco and Bonamie families ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช bring two other families into Boemm ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช, with acquisitions planned to grow revenue to โ‚ฌ200M by 2030.
  • ATP ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ, USS Investment Management ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง and Guotong Romeo ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ are weighing a sale of their stake in Redexis ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ at a valuation above $1B.
  • Activists TOMS Capital Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and Kimmeridge Energy Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ continue pressuring Devon Energy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, valued at $42B, to sell itself after an asset-sale review.
  • Silver Lake ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and Saudi Arabiaโ€™s Public Investment Fund ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ held talks to acquire Unity ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ in a $25B leveraged buyout.
  • Extreme Networks ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is exploring a sale after receiving takeover interest.
  • Moelis family ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ takes a minority stake in Gotham FC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $100M at a $350M valuation.
  • Liberty Media ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquired chairman emeritus John Malone ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€™s super-voting class shares.
  • Shield AI ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ will acquire radar company Echodyne ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $5.3B and raise $2.5B, including a $1B Series H at a $28.8B valuation.
  • DTE Energy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ has agreed to sell its non-utility business DTE Vantage ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $3B.
  • Wendyโ€™s ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ rejected a $1.4B LBO offer from activist hedge fund Trian Fund Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and adopted a poison pill.
  • New York Times ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is in exclusive talks to acquire film-focused social platform Letterboxd ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ for $330M.
  • General Mills ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is considering a sale of its Hรคagen-Dazs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ice cream brand outside North America.
  • NextEra Energy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€™s proposed acquisition of Dominion Energy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ faces opposition in Virginia. The Virginia State Corporation Commission ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is scheduled to rule on the deal in January.
  • Morgan Stanley ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ has agreed to acquire Vinyl Equity ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, a digital transfer agent and shareholder recordkeeping platform.
  • Securitize ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ has agreed to acquire institutional asset-backed financing platform River One ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ. The deal is expected to close in Q4 2026.
  • RBC Global Asset Management ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has agreed to acquire Yarra Capital Management ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ, adding $12B in assets under management.
  • Mitsui Chemicals ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต has agreed to acquire semiconductor materials maker JSR ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต jointly with Development Bank of Japan ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต for $8.8B from JIC Capital ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต.
  • SoftBank ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต and ABB ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ are exploring carving out ABBโ€™s Chinese unit at a $2B-$3B valuation after China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ blocked SoftBankโ€™s $5.4B acquisition of ABB ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ.
  • Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ will acquire Evos ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ from Igneo Infrastructure Partners ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ for $2.9B including debt.
  • QatarEnergy ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has agreed to acquire a 25% stake in Chevron ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€™s offshore Petroleum Exploration License 82 in Namibia.

๐Ÿงณ Private Markets & VC

  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท The Price is Right. Patrick Drahi hands over his Paris restaurant for โ‚ฌ1 to Jean-Luc Berrebi, proving that when it comes to troubled eateries, everything must go. (L'Informรฉ)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Claude and Clear. Anthropic launches faster, cheaper versions of its Claude AI model just weeks before what could be the biggest IPO ever. (De Tijd)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tech Wreck. Hedge funds offloaded global tech shares at one of the fastest rates since 2016, fearing political backlash could short-circuit the AI boom. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Loan Star State. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission opens a case on Bathla Group, casting fresh doubt on the health of private credit down under. (Bloomberg)

Fundraising

  • OpenAI ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $11B (Coatue, T. Rowe Price, SoftBank, Sequoia, Founders Fund, a16z)
  • Monzo Bank ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Fintech): $10B
  • Zipline ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Mobility): $1.5B (Paradigm, WCM Investment Management, Layer Global)
  • Onodrim Industries ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Defense): $300M (Lux Capital, General Catalyst, Lakestar, Altimeter, Strike Capital, 137 Ventures, 8090, Expeditions)
  • Harbinger ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Automotive): $240M (Tiger Global, Capricorn, Ridgeline)
  • Nominal ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Manufacturing software): $240M (Lightspeed Venture Partners, Insight Partners, Lux Capital, Sequoia Capital, Lockheed Martin Ventures)
  • Sand.ai ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $200M (Cornerstone Capital, Wangsu Science & Technology)
  • EOS-X Space ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (Space tourism): $120M (Global Emerging Markets)
  • Ocient ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $100M (BOKA Capital)
  • Delix Therapeutics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): $100M (Johnson & Johnson Innovation JJDC, Inc., SV Health Investors' Dementia Discovery Fund, RA Capital, UC Investments, Artis Ventures, OMX Ventures, Dolby Family Ventures, Bail Capital, Adage Capital Management, Hamilton Square Partners Management, Vestal Point Capital, YK Bioventures)
  • Project Omega ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Nuclear technology): $80M (B Capital, noa VC, 645 Ventures, Starship Ventures, Mantis Ventures, Decisive Point, Virta Ventures, Pace Ventures, Essential Capital, Washington Harbour Partners)
  • Kalepa ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Insurance): $75M (Updata Partners)
  • Spines ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Publishing): $64M (Zeev Ventures, Aleph, NordStar, M-Fund, LionTree, Dan Senor, Twelve)
  • Optics11 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Defence): โ‚ฌ50M (SET Ventures, FORWARD.one, Value Creation Capital, JOIN Capital)
  • Humble Robotics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Robotics): $51M (Obvious Ventures)
  • Beacon Holdings ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (Software): $50M (CPPIB)
  • Tenspresso (AI): $50M
  • Coframe ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $35M (Khosla Ventures, Hanabi Capital, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind)
  • Vaeridion ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Aviation): โ‚ฌ30M (Shift Invest, Invest-NL, World Fund, Project A, Vsquared Ventures, Alexander Rittweger)
  • Numica ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Accounting): $21M (Roosh X, Flashpoint Capital)
  • geniosAI (Fintech): $19.1M (FactSet, Zoom, General Catalyst)
  • Uranium Digital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Trading): $16.5M (Blockchain Capital)
  • Betski ๐ŸŒ (Gaming): $15M (Nimbus Capital)
  • Sanyou Bio ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Biotech): Nearly RMB 100M (Zero2IPO Industry Investment)
  • BanTu Technology ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (AI): $10M (Lenovo Venture Capital, IDG Capital)
  • Physicl (AI): $10M (Inovia Capital)
  • Atmospheric AI ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Supply chain): $10M (DBL Partners)
  • MOVIN ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท (AI): KRW 10B (IMM Investment, Industrial Bank of Korea, Voyager Ventures, Atinum Investment, NAVER D2SF, Schmidt)
  • Takenos ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท (Fintech): $7M (North Island Ventures, Road Capital Management)
  • Blackletter ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Legal): $6M (Lerer Hippeau, Seven Stars, Maple VC, Garage Capital, Ripple Ventures, Aidan Gomez, Ivan Zhang, Nick Frosst, Jae Lee, Sara Hooker)
  • Astral ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Edtech): $5.5M (Andre Charoo, MapleVC, Stand Together Ventures Lab, Conversion Capital, Original Capital)
  • Vessel ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Consumer health): $5M (HG Ventures, Flex Capital, Ford Street Ventures, I2BF Global Ventures)
  • Ridero ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Automotive): $2.7M (RiverPark Ventures, NY Ventures, Green Egg Ventures, Blackpoint Capital, Potamkin Ventures)
  • Memora ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ (Proptech): โ‚ฌ1.7M (True Collective VC)
  • Crowd Threat ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Cybersecurity): ยฃ1M (Mercia Ventures, PXN Ventures)

Fund Watch

  • Walleye Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $17B (returning capital and closing part of its equities L/S business)
  • Ardian ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: โ‚ฌ1B (semiconductor investment platform, raised)
  • Aldaron ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $950M (Fund I, transformation equity fund, closed at hard cap)
  • Altamont Capital Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $750M (5th lower-middle-market private equity fund, planning to raise)
  • Sagard PE ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: $580M (3rd emerging-markets fund of funds)
  • Yosemite ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $350M (2nd cancer-focused VC fund)

๐Ÿ””IPO

  • BP ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Energy): sold a 5% stake in Norwayโ€™s Aker for $1.05B.
  • Frasers Group ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Retail): will buy back $135M worth of shares from founder Mike Ashley.
  • Airbus ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท (Aerospace): launches a share buyback program of up to โ‚ฌ5B, with an initial โ‚ฌ800M tranche.
  • Uniper ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Energy): Germany is considering an IPO of the nationalized utility.
  • Giorgio Armani ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น (Fashion): heirs favor an IPO over a sale.
  • WB Electronics ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Drones): plans to IPO at an $8B valuation.
  • vVardis ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (Dental): seeking to raise $230M at a $4.4B valuation in a US IPO.
  • Anthropic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): investors are pushing for an IPO at a valuation as low as $1.25T.
  • Wonder Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Foodtech): confidentially filed for a IPO after a $10B valuation in July.
  • General Motors ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Automotive): transferring its listing from the NYSE to the Nasdaq.
  • Logisteed Holdings ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (Logistics): targeting a record $4B Japan IPO with KKR.
  • NOTA ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (Hospitality): plans to raise $150M in a Japan IPO.
  • Ascendas Firstspace ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Real Estate): considering an India IPO that could raise $500M.

๐Ÿงณ Debt

  • Apple ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: raised $7.5B in an investment-grade bond sale.
  • Option Care Health ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: secured $3.1B in acquisition financing.
  • Alphabet ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: planning a second $1.5B prepaid energy bond sale this year.
  • Vantage Data Centers and CyrusOne ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: An undisclosed seller is seeking to sell $500M of tied data center loans.
  • China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ: raised $599M in debut yuan-denominated green bonds in Canada.
  • Haoyang Data Center 1 (Thailand) ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ: secured a $590M loan to fund a data center facility.
  • Indonesia ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ: sold $3B of dollar bonds in its first issuance since its fallout with MSCI.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Fervo ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: holds $301.6M in long-term debt.

โŒ Failures

  • BC Partners ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: is seeking a $50M DIP loan from Saudi Arabiaโ€™s PIF to take control of collapsed LIV Golf.
  • Smoby ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: the toy manufacturer plans to cut 13 net jobs and close two sites amid declining sales.
  • Crusoe ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: Google bought its Wyoming data center site and will invest $17B after it failed to secure customers.
  • Autokiniton ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: the KPS-backed auto parts supplier shelved a deal to amend and extend its $1.1B leveraged loan.
  • Microsoft ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: is winding down its deal to rent AI computing capacity from Oracle.
  • Boeing ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: plans to cut about 2,500 commercial-plane jobs, or 5% of its workforce, as production growth falls behind schedule.
  • PepsiCo ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: the company plans to cut about 1,000 jobs as its North American business struggles.
  • Qantas ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ: the airline will cut 850 jobs from mid-2027 and outsource some operations to India as it adopts AI.
  • LIV Golf ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: the Saudi-backed PGA rival will wind down operations after its financing deal with BC Partners fell apart.
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • Thames Water ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: asks creditors to extend repayment of part of its ยฃ20B debt to March 2028.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Childrenโ€™s Place ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: filed for Chapter 11 protection and is seeking a buyer.

๐ŸŽฏ For a Few More Minutesโ€ฆ

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Oops, There It Goes. A pair of East German bureaucrats accidentally set off the events that toppled the Berlin Wall, reminding everyone that revolutions do not always follow the script. (Washington Post)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Past Imperfect. Hungary unveils long-hidden state security files, with Pรฉter Magyar staging a symbolic break from silence exactly 70 years after the Soviet crackdown. (Le Temps)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Factory Settings. In Ulsan, Hyundai's auto plant sprawls across the city, with company-branded buildings, shops, and even hospitals forming a corporate ecosystem that employs over half the population. (Les Echos)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Ship Happens. The Odyssey cruise ship, which left over 200 passengers stranded in Cambodia after its operator suspended operations, has now been seized in Singapore for unpaid debts. (Le Parisien)
  • ๐ŸŒ Animal Farm. Not all animals are treated equally: from pampered orangutans to despised bugs, human preferences shape which species get saved and which get squashed. (Libรฉ)

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