๐Ÿฉณ Short Change

Every currency wants the pants; none fit.

A Free Lunch newsletter archive of September 10, 2026

Good morning!

Eleven heads of state land in New Delhi on 12 September for the eighteenth BRICS summit, and the host has already buried the headline. India’s commerce minister said on 7 August that his government does not favour a common currency and will not support one. Four years of speeches about escaping the dollar have produced a payments app, a working group on digital currencies, and a logo. Meanwhile the dollar took 50.99% of global payment value on SWIFT in July, 57.13% of central bank reserves in the first quarter, and 89% of foreign exchange turnover at the last BIS count.

Everything underneath is worse than advertised. Russia, cut out of SWIFT messaging in 2022, clears through CIPS at Beijing’s discretion. India settled $14.6B of imports in rupees between March and May, mostly Russian crude bought after the Strait of Hormuz shut. Moscow now holds rupee balances that cannot leave the country. Sberbank’s answer, launched in December, was a fund tracking Indian equities, sold to Russian savers. The euro turns 28 in January and still lacks the deposit guarantee proposed in 2015 and scheduled to be running by 2024. The pound has not recovered from 2016. The yen belongs to a country that spent 25 years manufacturing inflation, finally got some, and in July needed Washington’s help to buy its own currency back.

The charge that the dollar has been weaponised is fair. Sanctions have spread from Iran to Russia to whichever small economy irritated a Treasury official on a Wednesday. Gross federal debt passed $40T on 19 August, two years earlier than the CBO once projected, with the last $1T arriving in five months. Kevin Warsh took the Fed chair in May on a 54-45 vote, the narrowest in the job’s history, at an institution the Justice Department had already subpoenaed. None of that makes the alternative better. A system with five mediocre reserve assets and no anchor sends money in five directions during a panic, a different disaster rather than a cure. No central bank stands ready to supply euros to a foreign counterparty overnight. No European treasury guarantees anyone’s deposits, which is exactly the file stuck since 2015.

The de-dollarisation enthusiasts confuse escape with repair. Dollar dominance measures the weakness of every alternative as much as American strength. The work of building institutions worth trusting has been traded for the pleasure of complaining about the one that works. The test is not hypothetical. The war began on 28 February, Hormuz closed, oil went above $100, and money moved into the currency everyone claims to be leaving. When a central bank in Jakarta or Lagos runs short of dollars overnight, the people who pay are not the delegates in New Delhi. They are households whose savings sit in something nobody will accept.

๐Ÿฉณ Short Change

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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Top Story

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Minority Report. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance, polling under 5 percent, now finds itself in position to make or break far-right rule in eastern Germany. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Advance Notice. Secret documents reveal Spain and Morocco were tipped off about planned border surges in Ceuta, yet the government claims it had no idea of the coming scale. (Die Zeit)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Blank Space. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mocked Europe’s AI sector at a Dallas conference, saying it amounts to ยซย nothingย ยป compared to US and Chinese giants. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Wall Street. Brussels approves โ‚ฌ115M in emergency funds for Spain to fortify Ceutaโ€™s border, after 70,000 migrants surged in from Morocco in July. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Gap Year. Ukraine has shocked European backers by revealing a surprise $27B budget shortfall, just months after securing $100B in loans. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Check Please. Donald Trump promises every American adult a $5,000 dividend if Republicans win Congress, reviving his tradition of cash pledges that never arrive. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Critical Condition. The IMF abruptly abandoned Ricardo Reis for chief economist after discovering his anti-tariff remarks on Trump, proving that frank analysis is hazardous to your hiring prospects. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Drill of Rights. Thai police now run active shooter drills in Bangkok schools after a deadly attack, hoping rehearsed panic will substitute for real safety. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Hang Time. Human Rights Watch reports Iran executed at least 59 protesters and political dissidents in five months, using rushed trials and coerced confessions to silence opposition. (France Info)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Viral Silence. Ibrahim Khalil Dan Shagamu, a prominent Nigerian government critic with a massive social media following, was found murdered at home during the presidential campaign, sparking calls for a full investigation. (Le Monde)
  • ๐ŸŒ Heat Repeat. The Copernicus Observatory reports August 2026 tied July 2023 as the hottest month ever recorded globally, with average temperatures soaring 1.65ยฐC above preindustrial levels. (France Info)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Trust Issues. The UK’s health regulator says new laws are needed for AI in the NHS, warning that current rules cannot keep up with self-learning machines. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flight Risk. National Air Traffic Services insists hackers are not to blame for the Heathrow chaos, but airlines are not buying the technical fault excuse. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Party Line. The Metropolitan Police have opened a criminal investigation into Reform UK after undercover footage suggested aides plotted to sidestep foreign donation laws, with ยฃ500,000 at stake. (BBC)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Steel Yourself. Democrat John Fetterman appeared at Trumpโ€™s convention to support GOP Senator David McCormick and promise unity for Pennsylvaniaโ€™s steel industry, just as midterms approach. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Name Drop. The Associated Press will keep calling Lake Ontario by its original name, ignoring President Trump’s executive order to rename it Lake America. (Washington Post)

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Economy

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Account Suspended. The US labeled Italian web host Autistici/Inventati a terrorist group, freezing its bank accounts and forcing to shut down after 23 years online. (El Pais)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Common Grounded. The fails to agree on a bloc-wide ban or restriction on products from Israeli settlements, as member states remain divided and action stalls in Brussels. (El Pais)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Gas Lighting. The EUโ€™s RePowerEU plan was supposed to end Russian gas imports by 2027, but auditors say most countries barely spent the money or met targets. (France Info)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Rate Expectations. The ECB is set to raise interest rates by 0.25% to 2.5% on Thursday, but the path ahead is clouded by uncertainty and disagreement among analysts. (Boursier)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Nuclear Option. Once a political third rail, nuclear power is back on the table in California as leaders scramble to meet 100 percent clean energy targets by 2045. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Yield Sign. Treasury yields surged after Scott Bessentโ€™s much-hyped $6B buyback plan underwhelmed Wall Street, leaving investors unimpressed and borrowing costs higher. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Code Red. Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigns, warning that Anthropic and OpenAI are racing to build superhuman AI without proper safeguards for humanity. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Dollar Instinct. President Javier Milei has stabilized the Argentine peso, but savers keep buying dollars at a five-to-one ratio, proving old habits die hard. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Bond Voyage. Chinese banks are piling into government bonds as mortgage and consumer lending dries up, searching for yield in a shrinking loan market. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Derivative Drama. The Bank of Korea calls for tighter oversight of foreign derivatives tied to Korean chip stocks, blaming leveraged hedge funds for recent Kospi turbulence. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Expat Factor. Hong Kong is attracting a surge of foreign professionals as a boom in dealmaking helps it outpace Singapore as Asia’s top expat hub. (Bloomberg)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bank Shot. The TUC urges Prime Minister Andy Burnham to fund energy bill discounts for low and middle earners by restoring a higher bank tax, aiming for ยฃ9B over four years. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Mind the Gap. UK Chancellor John Healey faces calls to scrap the ยฃ100K childcare threshold that prompts parents, especially mothers, to reduce work hours or quit entirely. (The Guardian)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pump and Circumstance. Donald Trump claims oil and gas prices will stay high until after the midterms, promising a sudden drop and war resolution once votes are counted. (CNBC)

๐Ÿข Real Estate

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Logo Motion. The City of London Corporation may soon let companies display their names on skyscrapers, ending a tradition that kept branding off the skyline since 1911. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Home Rules. The Commission proposes unified criteria for cities to tighten short-term rental restrictions, aiming to clarify when platforms like Airbnb can be curbed. (Die Zeit)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Room for Tax. England’s mayors will soon get the power to impose a tourist levy on overnight stays, letting local leaders decide how to spend the extra cash. (BBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bit Short. Environmental thinktank Verdant says UK datacentres will employ just 25% of the jobs tech lobbyists promised, with 10,400 roles instead of 40,000. (The Guardian)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Rate Escape. With fixed mortgage rates climbing, more Americans opt for adjustable-rate loans, pushing ARM demand to its highest since June in a hunt for relief. (CNBC)

๐Ÿ”— On-chain

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Risky Business. British trust firms are shunning crypto wealth, with concerns about regulation, transparency, and volatility outweighing any appetite for digital riches. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Hodl No More. The German government wants to scrap the tax-free status for long-term crypto holders, making every Bitcoin profit fair game for the taxman from 2027. (Die Zeit)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Token Gesture. Hunter Bidenโ€™s novelty $LAPTOP coin soared briefly before crashing to nearly zero, leaving buyers with a collectible lesson in market gravity. (New York Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Act or Fact. Coinbaseโ€™s Brian Armstrong insists the will get crypto regulation, whether it comes from Congress or agencies like the SEC and CFTC. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป Stable Genius. Tether ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป launches a $400M private credit fund with Fasanara Capital ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง, betting that stablecoin-backed loans will lure more users to USDT. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Liquid Assets. Ethical hackers exploited a flaw in Japan’s Liquid Network, draining $320M in bitcoin before returning most of it and keeping $47M as a reminder to patch fast. (Italian)

๐Ÿ’ฑ Listed Markets

  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Prime Launch. Amazon ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ signs a major satellite launch deal with Arianespace ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท at the Paris Space Summit, brushing off Trump’s boycott calls and giving Europe a rare boost in the space race. (Les Echos)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท French Connection. Samsung Electronics ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท headlines a โ‚ฌ3B investment in Mistral AI, propelling the French AI company to a โ‚ฌ21B valuation and new global relevance. (Les Echos)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Family Jewels. Johann Rupert promotes his son Anton to co-vice chair at Richemont ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ, tightening the family’s grip on the luxury giant’s boardroom. (Le Figaro)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AI of the Tiger. Barclays bumps its S&P 500 target to 7,950, declaring that Big Tech’s AI-fueled earnings have left the rest of the market in the dust. (CNBC)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Double Take. Apple unveils the iPhone Duo, its first foldable phone, featuring a 7.6-inch display and a $1,999 price tag to match the hype. (TechCrunch)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Power Surge. Shares of Fortum ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ jumped 8% after the Finnish energy company struck a nuclear power supply deal with Google ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, giving investors something to glow about. (Wall Street Journal)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fruit of the Bot. Instacart ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ debuts Clementine, an AI assistant that builds grocery carts from recipes or chat, aiming to make meal planning obsolete. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Dunkinโ€™ the Chains. Inspire Brands ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ has tapped Dunkinโ€™ boss Scott Murphy as interim CEO just as it gears up for a major IPO, with Paul Brown sidelined by injury. (Wall Street Journal)

๐Ÿ›Ž๏ธ Big Deals (M&A)

  • Rio Tinto ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง acquires the Aurukun bauxite project ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ from Glencore ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ and Mitsubishi Development ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ.
  • BNP Paribas Asset Management ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท sells its stake in Kyobo Axa Investment Managers ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท.
  • Niryo ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท acquires BizLinkโ€™s medical robotics business ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ, including its technologies, intellectual property, teams, production, and R&D operations.
  • Cegid ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท and Silae ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท announce their merger, creating a European software group valued at more than โ‚ฌ10B. Completion is expected in H1 2027.
  • Volkswagen ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช is considering divesting motorcycle maker Ducati ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น as part of its restructuring.
  • Ariston Group ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น acquires an 83% stake in Vietnamese water purifier company Mutosi ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ from Mekong Capital ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ.
  • Poste Italiane ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น raises its cash-and-stock takeover offer for Telecom Italia ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น by 5% to $13.2B.
  • Renaissance Partners ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น acquires yacht interiors maker De Wave ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น from Platinum Equity ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $465M.
  • UniCredit ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น acquired a minority stake in VC Trade ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช, a credit markets fintech.
  • Starteepo ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ builds a 7.3% stake in Xerox ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, a $420M-listed office solutions company, and pushes for a review of its financial services business.
  • CVC ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ is exploring a $2B sale of personal care rollup Arthea ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, which owns Dr Tealโ€™s.
  • Cerberus Capital Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is in advanced talks to acquire a significant stake in Goodwin ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง’s mechanical engineering division for up to ยฃ1.1B.
  • Franklin Templeton ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires a 75% stake in Stoneshield ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ for around โ‚ฌ600M, valuing the real-assets investment firm at approximately โ‚ฌ800M.
  • TPG ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires an interest in UnitedHealth Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ’s Optum Health WellMed clinics in Florida.
  • Chime ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires nationally chartered bank Stride Bank ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $590M.
  • Circle Internet Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Singaporean B2B cross-border payments platform Tazapay ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ for $400M in stock.
  • Apple ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Berkeley-based sensor startup Sonera ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, which had raised $20M before the deal completed in May 2026.
  • Analog Devices ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Alif Semiconductor ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $1.35B in cash.
  • HOF Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Porsche ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช’s stake in Bugatti Rimac ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท for approximately โ‚ฌ1B.
  • GE Aerospace ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires castings manufacturer Consolidated Precision Products ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ from Warburg Pincus ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and Berkshire Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for $11.75B.
  • EverBank Financial ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ will merge with WaFd ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ in a $3.9B reverse merger.
  • Anthropic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ walked away from its $6B acquisition of real-world AI model startup Decart AI ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ.
  • Blackstone ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ explores a $2B sale of medical-grade skincare company ZO Skin Health ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.
  • L Catterton ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ to acquire a controlling stake in fitness competition brand Hyrox ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช from Infront Sports & Media ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ at a $700M valuation.
  • CBRE Investment Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires Tenet Equity ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, Cerberusโ€™s net-lease real estate business, for $1.6B.
  • Labcorp ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires specialty laboratory provider MLM Medical Labs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.
  • Robinhood ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ takes minority stakes in Crypto.comโ€™s crypto exchange and prediction markets business ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ as part of a partnership.
  • Independence Realty Trust ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ merges with Centerspace ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ in an $8.1B deal including debt, creating a middle-market apartment REIT.
  • Uber ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ invests $10M in Indian fleet operator Carrum Mobility ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ at a $168M post-money valuation.
  • Enbridge ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ acquires Tallgrass Energyโ€™s crude oil business ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ from Blackstone for $2.6B.
  • Tamarack Valley Energy ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ acquires Headwater Exploration ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ in a $2.3B all-stock deal.
  • Lionel Messi ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท is reportedly set to acquire 100% of Spanish second-division soccer club CD Eldense ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ, pending approval from Spainโ€™s National Sports Council.
  • Centrist Reform Alliance ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต effectively disbands after its failed merger with Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต and Komeito ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต. CDP lawmakers will form a new party, while Komeito members return to their original party.
  • Vista Land & Landscapes ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ is looking to sell assets to meet debt obligations, including a $420M bond due next year.
  • MetropolCard ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท acquires a 51% stake in online ticket platform Bilet.com ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Sparkle Grooming Co. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ secures $6M in strategic growth financing led by Companion Fund ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.
  • New Water Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ acquires custom foodservice lid manufacturer LidWorks ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ.

๐Ÿงณ Private Markets & VC

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bond Voyage. Arini Capital Management ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง lost over 8% in its flagship fund this year after a series of risky European credit bets backfired, sending top traders packing. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท SkyNet Worth. Loft Orbital ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท partners with Marlan Space ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช for a $1B project to launch 50 AI-driven satellites, making France a contender in the global space race. (Libรฉ)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Acropolis Now. Millennium Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is setting up shop in Athens, lured by Greeceโ€™s new tax regime designed to attract hedge funds and private equity. (Financial Times)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Eurovision. Schroders ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง is betting big on Hungary’s bonds, hoping the country’s euro ambitions will bring a convergence windfall reminiscent of the 1990s. (Bloomberg)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Sound Decision. Listen Labs, a voice AI startup, abandoned a $1.5B funding round after Salesforce ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ began acquisition talks reportedly valuing the company at $2B. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Roku and Order. The DOJ issues a second request for information on Foxโ€™s $22B Roku takeover, hinting that this merger will not get a free pass. (TechCrunch)
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Ctrl-Alt-Delete. Jacob Coxon resigns from Anthropic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, warning that the AI industry is racing to build self-improving models that could spiral out of control. (Wall Street Journal)

Fundraising

  • Cognition ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $2B (Andreessen Horowitz, Accel, Founders Fund, General Catalyst, Avenir, Benchmark, Bessemer, Kleiner Perkins, Greylock, Lightspeed, Altimeter, Bond Capital, Meritech, Atreides, Valor, T. Rowe Price, Lux, 8VC, D1, 137 Ventures, DST, Positive Sum, HOF, Soma, BoxGroup, Battery, Ribbit, Swish, Stripes, Definition, Hanabi, Journey, Bain Capital Ventures, Layer Global, A* Capital, Alpha Wave, Alkeon, Diffusion)
  • NEXTDC ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ (Data centers): A$1.1B ($795.63M)
  • Stoke Space ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Aerospace): $1B (Point72 Ventures, Spark Capital)
  • Ramp ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $1B
  • Harvey ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $550M (Diffusion, Lightspeed Venture Partners)
  • Uforce ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Drones): $500M (Valor Equity Partners)
  • The Exploration Company ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (Space): $450M (Atomico, EQT Scaleup Europe Fund)
  • Celero Communications ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Semiconductors): $275M (Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, CapitalG)
  • Encoded Therapeutics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): $275M (GV, ARCH Venture Partners, Braidwell LP, Farallon Capital Management, Illumina Ventures, Invus, Janus Henderson Investors, Matrix Capital Management, Nolan Capital, RTW Investments, SoftBank Vision Fund 2, Venrock)
  • Covenant ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Defense): Over $250M (Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Lux, 8VC, Aleph, Lightspeed)
  • Solstice Oncology ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): $225M (RA Capital Management, Canaan Partners, Forbion)
  • TabaPay ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $155M (FTV Capital)
  • Forus ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Healthcare): $150M (Bain Capital Ventures, Thrive Capital, General Catalyst, Accel, Redpoint, BoxGroup, Pear VC, Avra, Human Capital, Neo, Vast Ventures, SV Angel)
  • Beep ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Mobility): $130M (Mobileye)
  • Kapital ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ (Fintech): $125M (Tru Arrow Partners, Fasanara Capital, Cervin Ventures, Niya Partners, Overlook Capital)
  • Split Pay ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $125M (Khosla Ventures, Thrive Capital, Max Levchin)
  • Clay ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $115M (Wellington, Sequoia, StepStone, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) Perennial, Meritech, DST, CapitalG, BoxGroup, Boldstart, Bloomberg Beta, Evolution)
  • Perry Weather ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Weather tech): $110M (Silversmith Capital Partners, Arthur Ventures)
  • Savvy Wealth ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $100M (Halo Fund, Thrive Capital, Industry Ventures, Canvas Prime, Index Ventures, House Fund, Euclidean Capital, Alumni Ventures, Vestigo Ventures)
  • TwoStep Therapeutics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): $62.5M (Insight Partners, Medical Excellence Capital, M Ventures, Pfizer Ventures, NFX, 2048 Ventures, Stanford University)
  • Poseidon Aerospace ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Aerospace): $60M (TQ Ventures)
  • Bluecore Energy (Nuclear): $50M (Silverton Partners)
  • Lightfield ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (CRM): $47M (Andreessen Horowitz, Maverick Capital, Coatue, Audacious, Alumni Ventures, Greylock, Lightspeed Venture Partners)
  • Foundation 8 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Proptech): $44.5M (Hilco Global)
  • Wint ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Proptech): $36M (LIP Ventures, Inven Capital)
  • Limetax ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (TaxTech): โ‚ฌ36M (Motive Partners, Activant, Heliad, Christian Lindner, Alexander Kudlich, Anton Rummel, Ante Spittler, German banking consortium)
  • Implicity ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท (Healthcare): โ‚ฌ35M (IRIS, Five Arrows)
  • Latitude ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $35M (Oak HC/FT, NEA, Coinbase Ventures, Lightspeed Faction, OpenFX, Wilson Sonsini)
  • Antioch ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Robotics): $32M (Greylock Partners)
  • Blee ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $27M (Fin Capital, SMBC)
  • Neurent Medical ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช (Healthcare): โ‚ฌ25M (Claret Capital Partners)
  • Euno ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): $23M (N47, 10D, Yinon Kostika, Yotam Segev, Ofir Ehrlich, Rotem Weiss, Mark Nelson)
  • System ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Healthcare): $20M (Patron Fund, Will Ventures, Vine, Courtside, Daybreak, SV Angel, RiverPark Ventures)
  • Aqua ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Fintech): $18.8M (Googleโ€™s AI Fund, Y Combinator, Arthur Ventures, Alumni Ventures)
  • Atira ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (AI): โ‚ฌ13M (Accel, UVC Partners)
  • fundcraft ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ (Fintech): โ‚ฌ12M (Riverside Acceleration Capital, CCAP Investments, 3VC, MiddleGame Ventures, Aperture Capital)
  • Navion Neurosciences ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Biotech): $10.8M (Angelini Lumira Biosciences Fund, 3B Future Health Fund, UVA LVG Seed Fund, Virginia Innovation Partnership Corporation, VTC Innovation Fund, Navion management)
  • Actionable ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท (Martech): $10M (Hi Inov, Axeleo Capital)
  • ZeroRisk ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช (Cybersecurity): $10M (MiddleGame Ventures, Elkstone)
  • Harmoni ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Manufacturing): $10M (Bessemer Venture Partners)
  • Ground A ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Defense): โ‚ฌ9.1M (Vsquared Ventures, Quantum Systems, GRIF, Robin Capital, ABACON, Leblon Capital, OVNI Capital, Florian Seibel, Sven Kruck, J14 Capital, Andreas Nauerz, Marlon Braumann, Arx Robotics CEO Stefan Roebel)
  • HelmGuard ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Cybersecurity): $7.3M (Infinity Ventures, Frontline, FinTech Collective, Stage 2 Capital, Entrepreneurs First)
  • Bulwark Dynamics ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Defense): $6.8M (SBI US Gateway Fund LP, Archetype Ventures, Nร„’nร„’ Ventures, Onomichi Dockyard)
  • Strong by Form ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (Deeptech): โ‚ฌ5.8M (boisei investments, CMPC Ventures, VX Ventures, Ternel, Savia Ventures, Teampact Ventures, Axel Carbon, FINSA, confidential family offices)
  • Overroute ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Logistics): $5.5M (UP.Partners, EIC Rose Rock, 1834 Ventures, Tulane Ventures)
  • MCatalysis ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Energy): $5M (HL Energy Ventures, Oxford Science Enterprises)
  • SCI Semiconductor ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Cybersecurity): ยฃ5M (PXN Ventures, Mercia Ventures, Osney Capital, Black Opal Ventures)
  • Onix ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (AI): $5M (Alpha Edison, Garage Capital, Ride Home Fund, Jeremy Zimmer, JS Cournoyer)
  • Rebaba ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Energy): $4.6M (Sistafund, EIT Urban Mobility)
  • Jaipur Robotics ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (AI): โ‚ฌ4.3M (EquityPitcher Ventures, High-Tech Grรผnderfonds)
  • FRYTE Mobility ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Mobility): โ‚ฌ3.5M (4impact capital, Rethink Ventures, Revent, F-LOG, accilium ventures, angel investors)
  • Fusionality ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ (Fusion): โ‚ฌ3.2M
  • Pharosyn ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (Pharma): โ‚ฌ2.5M (Moonfire, Entrepreneurs First, Transpose Platform, General Advance)
  • Bynario ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น (Cybersecurity): โ‚ฌ2.1M
  • Sci2sci ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช (Biopharma): โ‚ฌ1.2M (Heliad, IBB Ventures, Robin Capital, Superangels)

Fund Watch

  • Cinven ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: $2.7B (2nd strategic middle-market fund)
  • Axcel ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ: $2.4B (8th flagship fund)
  • a16z ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $1.75B (5th growth fund, expanded to $8.5B)
  • Bridgepoint ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: $1.4B (private credit continuation vehicle, led by Pantheon Ventures)
  • HGP Intelligent Energy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $1.2B (merger with Meshflow Acquisition, nuclear services firm)
  • J.P. Morgan Asset Management ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $1.1B (Net Lease Real Estate Fund II, U.S. net lease real estate)
  • Allianz Global Investors (AllianzGI) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช: โ‚ฌ1B+ (Impact Private Credit strategy, private credit)
  • PennantPark Investment Advisers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $745M (middle-market private credit continuation vehicle, led by Pantheon Ventures)
  • Tyree & D’Angelo Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $650M (4th private equity fund)
  • Apogem Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $600M (11th private equity fund)
  • Claret Capital ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: $510M (4th European growth debt fund)
  • TrueBridge Capital Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $508M (2nd secondaries fund)
  • CapitaLand Investment ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ: $500M (3rd APAC credit program, currently raising)
  • Luma Group ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $410M (LumaBio Fund I, inaugural life sciences venture capital fund)
  • Gibson Technical Services ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: $400M (merger with NMP Acquisition Corp.)
  • British Business Bank ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: ยฃ150M (Northern Scaleup Fund, growth capital for northern UK university spinouts and businesses)
  • Techshop ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: โ‚ฌ43M (Techshop II, 2nd VC fund for pre-Seed and Seed AI B2B startups, โ‚ฌ100M target)
  • CloudNC ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: $20M (investment capital)
  • Gainline Capital Partners ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: single-asset continuation vehicle for Core Health & Fitness, led by StepStone

๐Ÿ””IPO

  • Belron ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช (Auto Services): exploring an Amsterdam IPO at a valuation above โ‚ฌ30B.
  • NordAmps ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Semiconductors): received conditional approval for a Nasdaq First North Growth Market IPO.
  • Dormy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช (Retail): targeting a Nasdaq First North Premier listing at a valuation of over SEK 1.05B.
  • Andel Holding ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ (Energy): plans to sell a 1.6% stake in ร˜rsted worth $467M.
  • Anthropic ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (AI): delaying its IPO to mid-October, targeting a valuation of $2T or more and potentially raising $75B+.
  • Amazon ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Technology): secured rights to buy $4B of Qualcomm stock as part of a $60B AI chip deal.
  • Holtec ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (Nuclear): seeking to raise $900M at a $10.2B valuation in an IPO.
  • DeepSeek ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (AI): preparing a Shanghai STAR Market IPO by the end of 2026. Deal size and valuation remain undisclosed.
  • Longsys ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Semiconductors): raised $903M in an upsized Hong Kong IPO.
  • Circles Group ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ (Telecoms): plans to spin off its digital software services platform for several hundred million dollars.
  • National Stock Exchange of India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Exchange): likely to price its downsized IPO below the marketed range, raising $2.5B at a $46.6B valuation.
  • Torrent Gas ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ (Energy): filed updated papers for a $418M India IPO.
  • Firmus Technologies ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ (Data Centers): starting investor meetings for an Australian IPO.

๐Ÿงณ Debt

  • Nexans ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: raised โ‚ฌ500M in five-year bonds.
  • Arixa Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: surpassed $9B in loan originations and expanded its homebuilder finance program.
  • Bank of America ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: launched a $3.3B debt sale with Deutsche Bank ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช to fund Platinum Equityโ€™s $2.9B acquisition of Nestlรฉโ€™s water business.
  • Amazon ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: hired banks for its debut sterling bond sale.
  • Vale ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท: considering its debut in Chinaโ€™s bond market as early as this year.
  • SoftBank ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต: exploring a $10B-$20B junk-bond sale.
  • Reliance Industries ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ: plans to raise $1.3B its first local FX bond sale since 2021.
  • NEOM ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: raised $3B in financing from HSBC, Bank of China, Crรฉdit Agricole, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and others.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Quiq Capital ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: upsized its revolving credit facility to $30M.
  • Kurv Industrial ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: raised a $67M senior loan from Canyon Partners to refinance a New Jersey industrial property.

โŒ Failures

  • Ostrich ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: the proptech startup shut down after raising $3.98M.
  • Alkegen ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: the specialty materials manufacturer filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, planning to eliminate $3.1B in debt.
  • LIV Golf ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: filed for Chapter 11 after Saudi Arabiaโ€™s PIF withdrew funding, as players discuss taking control.
  • Senegal ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ: will seek to reprofile its debt rather than restructure it to qualify for an IMF bailout.
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom
  • McLaren ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: the supercar maker will invest ยฃ450M in its UK technology centre, creating 1,000 jobs.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States
  • Dish Wireless ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ: creditors seek an independent trustee, alleging billions of dollars in assets were transferred before its Chapter 11 filing.

๐ŸŽฏ For a Few More Minutesโ€ฆ

  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Write Off. Bic ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท, the maker of iconic pens and lighters, announces a strategic overhaul as its classic products lose ground in a digital and eco-conscious world. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Like Farming. Hundreds of Facebook pages pump out AI-generated far-right content targeting French users, racking up massive engagement and cash for overseas operators. (Le Monde)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Nap Time. French scientist Emmanuel Mignot and Japan’s Masashi Yanagisawa win the Lasker Award for breakthroughs on narcolepsy, finally waking up sleep research. (Libรฉ)
  • ๐ŸŒ Space Invaders. Scientists warn that the Kessler syndrome. An unstoppable chain reaction of satellite collisions. Could soon turn Earth’s orbit into a junkyard, threatening everything from GPS to global finance. (France Info)

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